State Weekly Covid Reports

risk management

Covid Policy. The Great Barrington Declaration – “The single document that will go down as one of the most important publications in the pandemic” – Dr. Scott Atlas, American physician and healthcare policy expert, Former White House Coronavirus Response team member. Barrington Policy adopted by Sweden and Florida.
 

Florida Surgeon General – Joseph Ladapo.   “Vaccines are available. Treatments are available,”  “If you do get COVID, get treated early.” Ladapo argued doctors haven’t made enough effort on the treatment side: “The other component that other states should adopt is both preventative and treatment. Makes me sad as a scientist and a doctor that more effort is not made to connect patients with treatments. That has cost many lives during the pandemic.”

US COVID-19 cases and deaths by state

Questions

  • Not shown in the State reports or provided is the additional number and percent of citizens that recovered from Covid and have natural immunity.
  • Adverse Effects.  What are the known side-effects from the vaccines?  What are the know side-effects from those that were unvaxxed but recovered, e.g., such as no sense of smell or taste.
  • On “New Positive Cases,” how many were vaccinated vs unvaccinated. Of those that were vaccinated and contracted a new variant, what are the treatment protocols? For the unvaccinated with or without natural immunity, what are the recommended treatment protocols?   
  • What are the adverse effects from the vaccine reported in VAERS?  What percent of adverse reactions are reported in Indiana?
  • Of the deaths, how many of these were individuals with comorbidities? What were the ages? How many were vaccinated vs unvaccinated? For the unvaccinated, how many had natural immunity?
  • Does the state (or “county health department”) support supplementing your diet with Vitamin D, C, and Zinc? Other recommendations?
  • Does the current reporting infer that ALL citizens should be vaccinated? If so, this is most likely an unrealistic goal and does not provide the quality of information citizens need to make informed decisions on vaccinations. Individuals throughout the country are leaving their jobs when given the ultimatum to get vaccinated.
 
Covid Survival Rate – Weekly Data Provided by the State of Indiana
  • Estimate – Infection Mortality Rate (IFR):  Deaths divided Positive cases times 100.
  • Estimate – Survival Rate (positive cases – deaths) / positive cases x 100.

Available Treatments?

  • The supported treatment for the unvaccinated that contract Covid is the Monoclonal Antibody Therapy – funded by the Feds. It is up to each individual to reach out to get access to additional treatments. These treatments would likely increase the survival rate.

Note: (11/29/21) Statistical significance can be derived from a calculation. Significance by itself is subjective.  I did not calculate “statistical significance” and will just state “significant” in future posts.   

risk management

Covid Policy. The Great Barrington Declaration – “The single document that will go down as one of the most important publications in the pandemic” – Dr. Scott Atlas, American physician and healthcare policy expert, Former White House Coronavirus Response team member. Barrington Policy adopted by Sweden and Florida.
 

Florida Surgeon General – Joseph Ladapo.   “Vaccines are available. Treatments are available,”  “If you do get COVID, get treated early.” Ladapo argued doctors haven’t made enough effort on the treatment side: “The other component that other states should adopt is both preventative and treatment. Makes me sad as a scientist and a doctor that more effort is not made to connect patients with treatments. That has cost many lives during the pandemic.”

US COVID-19 cases and deaths by state

Questions

  • Not shown in the State reports or provided is the additional number and percent of citizens that recovered from Covid and have natural immunity.
  • Adverse Effects.  What are the known side-effects from the vaccines?  What are the know side-effects from those that were unvaxxed but recovered, e.g., such as no sense of smell or taste.
  • On “New Positive Cases,” how many were vaccinated vs unvaccinated. Of those that were vaccinated and contracted a new variant, what are the treatment protocols? For the unvaccinated with or without natural immunity, what are the recommended treatment protocols?   
  • What are the adverse effects from the vaccine reported in VAERS?  What percent of adverse reactions are reported in Indiana?
  • Of the deaths, how many of these were individuals with comorbidities? What were the ages? How many were vaccinated vs unvaccinated? For the unvaccinated, how many had natural immunity?
  • Does the state (or “county health department”) support supplementing your diet with Vitamin D, C, and Zinc? Other recommendations?
  • Does the current reporting infer that ALL citizens should be vaccinated? If so, this is most likely an unrealistic goal and does not provide the quality of information citizens need to make informed decisions on vaccinations. Individuals throughout the country are leaving their jobs when given the ultimatum to get vaccinated.
 
Covid Survival Rate – Weekly Data Provided by the State of Indiana
  • Estimate – Infection Mortality Rate (IFR):  Deaths divided Positive cases times 100.
  • Estimate – Survival Rate (positive cases – deaths) / positive cases x 100.

Available Treatments?

  • The supported treatment for the unvaccinated that contract Covid is the Monoclonal Antibody Therapy – funded by the Feds. It is up to each individual to reach out to get access to additional treatments. These treatments would likely increase the survival rate.

Note: (11/29/21) Statistical significance can be derived from a calculation. Significance by itself is subjective.  I did not calculate “statistical significance” and will just state “significant” in future posts.   

State Percentatges – Estimated Survival Rate
          (Postive Cases/Deaths)

    • 10/6/2021: 98.47%;
    • 10/13/2021: 98.44%
    • 10/21/2021: 98.42%
    • 10/27/2021: 98.41%
    • 11/4/2021: 98.41%
    • 11/11/2021: 98.43%
    • 11/17/2021: 98.44%
    • 11/23/2021: 98.45%

Nov 17-23, 2021.

  • Survival Rate Estimate: 98.45% (Positive cases: 1,084,488; Total Deaths: 16, 805).  The percentage of the Brown County is  54 percent. No statistically signficant change over the past 7 weeks.
  • NEW. Brown County Survival Estimate Rate:  97.1% (Positive cases 1,697; Deaths 50).

Nov 17, 2021.

  • Survival Rate Estimate: 98.44% (Positive cases: 1,069,450; Total Deaths: 16, 673).  The percentage of those who are partially vaccinated as of Nov. 17 is now 54 percent. No statistically signficant change over the past 6 weeks.

Nov 11, 2021.

  • Survival Rate Estimate: 98.43% (Positive cases: 1,047,847; Total Deaths: 16, 447). County vaccination rate is 53%.   No statistically signficant change over the past 5 weeks.

Nov 4, 2021

  • Survival Rate Estimate: 98.41% (Positive cases: 1,030,291; Total Deaths: 16, 336). County vaccination rate is 53%.   No statistically signficant change over the past month.


Oct  27, 2021

  • Estimated Survival Rate:  98.41% (Positive cases: 1,016,722; Total Deaths: 16,117)
  • IFR:  1.59%
 

Oct 21, 2021.

    • Survival Rate:  98.42% (Positive cases:  1,007, 681; Total Deaths: 15,930)
    • Using the recent population data from the 2020 Census, which shows the county’s population to be 15,475, the percentage of those who are partially vaccinated dropped to around 52 percent.
    • FB Post – BCM
    • FB Post – BCD

Oct 13, 2021. 98.44% (Deaths 15, 694), Total Positive Cases 994,079). Brown County vaccination percentage remains around 53 percent.

Oct 6, 202198.47%. (Deaths 15,442) compared to Total Positive Cases (979,000). Brown County vaccination percentage remains around 53 percent.

The SO WHAT?  Should the purpose of a “Report” also be to provide feedback to citizens as to what is working and what is not in response to Covid? Should this include identifying  prevention measures, the types of treatments available and provided, estimated risks to citizens on  vaccinations injuries as listed/identified in VAERS and other government sources) to citizens?

Additional Information

Cases going up, down, staying about the same?

  • Trends – Increases? Decreases?  Systemic Changes?
    • The most common misuse of statistics is when based on the numbers, a judgment is made that something is increasing or decreasing. What is generally unknown is that there are standards pioneered in America and accepted internationally for assessing trends.

      Generally, you need 20-25 data points that can then be placed on a run chart along with the median (center-line). Depending on the standard, the following trends would indicate an increase or decrease and if it was sustained, would indicate a systemic change: 6 Consecutive Points in a row rising or falling; 8 Consecutive Points in a row above or below the centerline. The simplest standard is the rule of 7 – 7 data points in a row increasing or decreasing or 7 in a row above or below the centerline. (PQ Systems Trends)

Nov 17-23, 2021.

  • Survival Rate Estimate: 98.45% (Positive cases: 1,084,488; Total Deaths: 16, 805).  The percentage of the Brown County is  54 percent. No statistically signficant change over the past 7 weeks.
  • NEW. Brown County Survival Estimate Rate:  97.1% (Positive cases 1,697; Deaths 50).

Nov 17, 2021.

  • Survival Rate Estimate: 98.44% (Positive cases: 1,069,450; Total Deaths: 16, 673).  The percentage of those who are partially vaccinated as of Nov. 17 is now 54 percent. No statistically signficant change over the past 6 weeks.

Nov 11, 2021.

  • Survival Rate Estimate: 98.43% (Positive cases: 1,047,847; Total Deaths: 16, 447). County vaccination rate is 53%.   No statistically signficant change over the past 5 weeks.

Nov 4, 2021

  • Survival Rate Estimate: 98.41% (Positive cases: 1,030,291; Total Deaths: 16, 336). County vaccination rate is 53%.   No statistically signficant change over the past month.


Oct  27, 2021

  • Estimated Survival Rate:  98.41% (Positive cases: 1,016,722; Total Deaths: 16,117)
  • IFR:  1.59%
 

Oct 21, 2021.

    • Survival Rate:  98.42% (Positive cases:  1,007, 681; Total Deaths: 15,930)
    • Using the recent population data from the 2020 Census, which shows the county’s population to be 15,475, the percentage of those who are partially vaccinated dropped to around 52 percent.
    • FB Post – BCM
    • FB Post – BCD

Oct 13, 2021. 98.44% (Deaths 15, 694), Total Positive Cases 994,079). Brown County vaccination percentage remains around 53 percent.

Oct 6, 202198.47%. (Deaths 15,442) compared to Total Positive Cases (979,000). Brown County vaccination percentage remains around 53 percent.

The SO WHAT?  Should the purpose of a “Report” also be to provide feedback to citizens as to what is working and what is not in response to Covid? Should this include identifying  prevention measures, the types of treatments available and provided, estimated risks to citizens on  vaccinations injuries as listed/identified in VAERS and other government sources) to citizens?

Additional Information

Cases going up, down, staying about the same?

  • Trends – Increases? Decreases?  Systemic Changes?
    • The most common misuse of statistics is when based on the numbers, a judgment is made that something is increasing or decreasing. What is generally unknown is that there are standards pioneered in America and accepted internationally for assessing trends.

      Generally, you need 20-25 data points that can then be placed on a run chart along with the median (center-line). Depending on the standard, the following trends would indicate an increase or decrease and if it was sustained, would indicate a systemic change: 6 Consecutive Points in a row rising or falling; 8 Consecutive Points in a row above or below the centerline. The simplest standard is the rule of 7 – 7 data points in a row increasing or decreasing or 7 in a row above or below the centerline. (PQ Systems Trends)

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