All posts by Tim J. Clark

State Weekly Covid Report

we the people declaration and flag

Covid Survival Rate – Weekly Data Provided by the State of Indiana
 
  • Oct 21, 2021.
    • Survival Rate:  99.984% (Positive cases:  1,007, 681; Total Deaths: 15,930)
    • Using the recent population data from the 2020 Census, which shows the county’s population to be 15,475, the percentage of those who are partially vaccinated dropped to around 52 percent.
    • FB Post – BCM
    • FB Post – BCD
  • Oct 13, 2021. 99.984% (Deaths 15, 694), Total Positive Cases 994,079). Brown County vaccination percentage remains around 53 percent.
  • Oct 6, 2021.  99.984%. (Deaths 15,442) compared to Total Positive Cases (979,000). Brown County vaccination percentage remains around 53 percent.

The SO WHAT?  Should the purpose of a “Report” be to provide feedback to citizens as to what is working and what is not in response to Covid? Should this include identifying  prevention measures, the types of treatments available and provided, estimated risks to citizens on  vaccinations injuries as listed/identified in VAERS and other government sources) to citizens?

Questions

  • Not shown or provided is the additional number and percent of citizens that recovered from Covid and have natural immunity.
  • On “New Positive Cases,” how many were vaccinated vs unvaccinated. Of those that were vaccinated and contracted the Delta Variant, what are the treatment protocols? For the unvaccinated with or without natural immunity, what are the recommended treatment protocols?
  • Of the deaths, how many of these were individuals with comorbidities? What were the ages? How many were vaccinated vs unvaccinated? For the unvaccinated, how many had natural immunity?
  • o. Does the state (or “county health department”) support supplementing your diet with Vitamin D, C, and Zinc? Other recommendations?
  • Does the current reporting infer that ALL citizens should be vaccinated? If so, this is most likely an unrealistic goal and does not provide the quality of information citizens need to make informed decisions on vaccinations. Individuals throughout the country are leaving their jobs when given the ultimatum to get vaccinated.

Cases going up, down, staying about the same?

  • Trends – Increases? Decreases?  Systemic Changes?
    • The most common misuse of statistics is when based on the numbers, a judgment is made that something is increasing or decreasing. What is generally unknown is that there are standards pioneered in America and accepted internationally for assessing trends.

      Generally, you need 20-25 data points that can then be placed on a run chart along with the median (center-line). Depending on the standard, the following trends would indicate an increase or decrease and if it was sustained, would indicate a systemic change: 6 Consecutive Points in a row rising or falling; 8 Consecutive Points in a row above or below the centerline. The simplest standard is the rule of 7 – 7 data points in a row increasing or decreasing or 7 in a row above or below the centerline. (PQ Systems Trends)

ASQ Testing Efficiency and Effectiveness of Government

ANSI G1 – A New Baseline for Testing Efficiency and Effectiveness of Government

In March 2021, the American National Standards Institute published a new professional standard to define the efficiency and effectiveness of government operations, ASQ/ANSI: G1 2021. One of the principal authors of this new standard, Richard Mallory, provides an overview of what it is, how it can be used, and why it is destined to be the primary focus of quality practices in government in the future.

Brown County IN – County And Community Capability Maturity And Potential

Data Interpretation Standards and Tools

The most common misuse of statistics is when based on the numbers, a judgment is made that something is increasing or decreasing. What is generally unknown is that there are standards pioneered in America and accepted internationally for assessing trends.

Generally, you need 20-25 data points that can then be placed on a run chart along with the median (center-line). Depending on the standard, the following trends would indicate an increase or decrease and if it was sustained, would indicate a systemic change: 6 Consecutive Points in a row rising or falling; 8 Consecutive Points in a row above or below the centerline. The simplest standard is the rule of 7 – 7 data points in a row increasing or decreasing or 7 in a row above or below the centerline. (PQ Systems Trends)

LinkedIn – Covid – Misuse of Control Charts by Dr. Tony Burns

Background Info – overview of quality management concepts, principles, methods and tools – Success through Quality

Misuse of Process Behavior Charts is rife. An example of such misuse is the many attempts to use Process Behavior Charts for Covid data.

My recent posts, such as “Down the Rabbit Hole” https://lnkd.in/gzk5bEPq have shown how the right approach is Professor Deming’s “Operational Definition”, or what Dr Shewhart called “Operational Meaning”:

1. What do you want to accomplish?
2. By what method will you accomplish your objective?
3. How will you know when you have accomplished your objective?

The first step is to ask, what are you trying to achieve? Professor Deming wanted to know if the processes he was studying were running at their maximum potential. He also asked whether these processes would continue to run at their maximum potential into the future. The tool he chose was the Shewhart Chart.

The first step with Covid data should be to ask “What do you want to accomplish?” Folk trying to draw control charts for Covid data have not asked this question.

What we want to know about Covid is whether it is getting better or worse. What we want to accomplish is a downward trend. The best method to observe such trends is the Run Chart, or Bar Chart.

Control Charts cannot help answer this question. All that a control chart can show is that the data is non-homogeneous. However we already know this because of the way the disease is spread from one person to many more people.

Control charts are ideal for bringing a process to its full potential and ensuring good quality into the future. They are worthless for COVID-19 data. Use a run/bar chart as shown. Run charts are ideal for showing trends.

“How will you know when you have accomplished your objective?” We will know this when the Run Chart trends to zero.

The root cause for the ubiquitous misuse of Process Behavior Charts is firstly courses failing to teach the fundamentals of Quality. The second cause is statistical software which encourages the blind pressing of buttons without thinking. When you have bought an expensive hammer, don’t spend your time looking for things to use it on. Use common sense instead.  THINK.

KEEP IT SIMPLE.

“But, as we have seen, an epidemic is anything but a steady-state system. It grows, changes, and evolves. We do not need to ask the question “Has a change occurred?” because we know that by its very nature every epidemic is constantly changing. This is why any attempt to use a process behavior chart to analyze the daily Covid values is a misapplication of the technique. It is conceptually equivalent to someone computing the average for a list of telephone numbers.” – Dr Wheeler.

www.q-skills.com

 

Leadership and Decision-Making Capabilities – Afghanistan example

Timeline Collapse Afghanistan
Afghanistan-Timeline-V4-Oct-4-2021

Excerpt – Lesson Learned:

  • With the exception of the individual choices we make to shape our own destinies,
    the choices made by the leaders we interact with throughout our life journeys have the
    most profound impact on every aspect of our existence. On the battlefield, the survival of
    our soldiers, and, by proxy, our citizens and our society; in business, our job satisfaction,
    our productivity, and our company’s, countries, and kinfolk’s potential to thrive; and over
    time, the success or failure of our species in our on-going quest to evolve. “The way” we
    choose to lead and organize ourselves irrevocably influences our potential to survive,
    thrive, and evolve. Leadership Matters.
  • The time-line of the decisions leading up to the collapse of Afghanistan reveals
    that the key leaders involved lack some of the most important qualities needed by those
    who lead and govern: a common sense of shared purpose, the ability to make sense of
    what’s going on around them, the ability to listen to their people and anticipate unfolding
    events, the capacity to make sensible choices based on incomplete information, and the
    flexibility and willingness to change their mind based on “the adaptive stimulus of what’s
    going on around them.” Their collective incompetence not only changed world history, it
    also changed our species evolutionary history by causing the deaths of at least 13
    American freedom fighters along with thousands of freedom-loving Afghans, while
    enabling hundreds of the world’s most despicable terrorists to survive, thrive, and evolve
    into the future.
  • Note on Time-Line: This timeline is a living document, as key information continues to come out we will continuously update the time-line as appropriate)

About the Author: Peter Blaber (LTC Ret, Former Special Mission Commander) is also the author of  The Common Sense Way: A New Way to Think About Leading and Organizing.  

Political Prisoners – Jan 6?

we the people declaration and flag

The Gateway Pundit Announces: AMERICAN GULAG – The Informational Website on the Jan. 6 Political Prisoners

  • The Gateway Pundit is pleased to announce its unveiling of www.AmericanGULAG.org, an informational site about the more than six hundred and thirty (630) people Joe Biden continues to imprison and persecute, largely for entering a public building on January 6, 2021.  
  • The overwhelming majority of Biden’s January 6th political prisoners are peaceful patriots, mothers, fathers, grandmothers, grandfathers, sisters and brothers whose crime was walking into a public building to protest.  The emerging totalitarian uniparty decided to weaponize the Department of Injustice and persecute Donald Trump/America First/anti-oligarchy supporters.

Introducing RealClearInvestigations’ Jan. 6-BLM Riots Dataset BThe Editors, RealClearInvestigations  September 09, 2021

  • The electorate itself is divided, but doesn’t necessarily view this issue as an either/or choice. Polling shows that a large majority of Americans support the idea of examining the causes of both the 2020 summer riots in America’s cities and the Jan. 6 riot at the Capitol.
  • It is clear, then, that many Americans see two sides to this story. In keeping with its mission to fill gaps in press coverage, RealClearInvestigations is launching a running compendium of data, with hyperlinked sourcing, comparing the damage done on Jan. 6, and the subsequent treatment of those accused of perpetrating it, with two other recent events: the summer 2020 riots and – in some ways a closer analogy – the all-but-forgotten riot in Washington on Inauguration Day 2017, as protesters challenged Donald Trump’s election and legitimacy much as Jan. 6 rioters challenged Joe Biden’s.

A Left Right Divide within Brown County, Indiana

we the people declaration and flag

Updated: Oct 18, 2021.

Facebook Challenges.  Every now and then, we have one or more issues on Brown County Matters that generate controversy, criticism, hard feelings, and false allegations.  The recent posts on the Indiana election and the Governors non-support of the President’s Covid mandates reflect a Left vs Right political divide that is common throughout the country.

Brown County Matters is a private Facebook Group requiring members to live, work, or own property in the county.  Posts are intended to be of local (county) interests. It has general rules of expected behavior and the respective  rule (s) are cited when a post is removed.   Individuals are also blocked from the site when their  contributions tend to be more disingenuous than constructive.

My perspective on the differences derived from the posts on the Election and Covid policy topics are provided below. 

Left Perspective

From a  “Left” perspective, the integrity of the 2020 Indiana and Presidential election should not be questioned and the Covid policy is not debatable or questionable.  On Covid policy and vaccines, the conclusion from the Left is that “its settled science, shut up, get the shot (s), do what your told, and don’t question who we identify as the “experts.”

The First Amendment allows individuals to express their opinions. Any sources of information not approved by the government, local gatekeepers, or the “fact/bias” checkers (that claim to be non-partisan and independent) represents misinformation.   It  is interesting when the word “harmful” is associated with some information posted inferring adults are not capable of determining the quality of the information provided.  And it begs the question:  Who determines what information should be disseminated and how?

All original posts on BCM must align with the rules but replies to posts can include an alternative point of view regarding the message.  Multiple sources of information are always helpful in validating information and identifying patterns.   And, individuals do criticize the quality of a post to include posting counter information as to what they believe to be  misinformation. 

For example, in reply to the local school mask policy,  I posted a video by Dr. Dan Stock to the Mt. Vernon school board advising against masks.  This was considered “misinformation.”  Other members posted criticisms by other doctors of Dr. Stocks position – all good.  An online interview was then arranged by an independent party that allowed a discussion between Dr. Stock and one of his critics – very civil, professional, and informative.  This type of discussion should be encourage – not suppressed. I would like to see follow-on discussions where viewers could ask questions and more detail can be discussed on the various aspects of the issue.  For more info: Dr. Dan Stock addressed the Mt. Vernon School Board in Indiana.

Anyone (the messenger) questioning the Lefts narrative on many topics may be immediately attacked, cancelled, bullied, or labeled in a derogatory manner.  The “message” that challenges the prevailing narrative is rarely discussed by the critics and would require a little more thought and analysis. It’s much easier to just attack the messenger, claim fake news or bias, question motives or just avoid the subject and debate. Critics are also subject to projection –  projecting their own faults onto other people.

In addition to projection, another common attribute of the Left is “virtue signaling” defined as “the sharing of one’s point of view on a social or political issue, often on social media, in order to garner praise or acknowledgment of one’s righteousness from others who share that point of view, or to passively rebuke those who do not.”

On the integrity of the Indiana election issues, I included a link to an article that discussed similar issues on the national election – The big ‘known unknown’ of 2020 by J. E Dyer at Liberty Unyielding.  The author is a retired Naval Intelligence officer and offers a unique, objective, and broad perspective on many issues.   Liberty Unyielding and the author were labeled as representing the “right wing fringe.”   

Right Perspective

From what is being labeled as a “Right” perspective, our system of government enables citizens to work together to achieve a more perfect Union. This can be achieved by developing more perfect (better) policies. This requires an open forum and ground rules to discuss all relevant information and perspectives. 

In the case of Covid, medical professionals locally as well as throughout the word have diverse and often opposing points of view regarding causes, prevention, treatments and policies.  Another subject of disagreement is on natural and herd immunity.

Many medical professionals that question the approved narrative are “canceled” and/or censored and accused of providing misleading information. What has been missing is an open forum that addresses questions, acknowledges the differences, identifies area of agreement and disagreement, and then identifies the information needed to continually develop and improve upon the best solutions.  This process builds trust, confidence in leadership, and leads to the better solutions.

When working towards a solution, leaders can opt for a process where everyone can benefit, or choose a win/lose (zero-sum) approach which unfortunately, is the more common approach. 

The position regarding national polices is often inferred by the Left as “We won the election and we’re doing things our way , go along or else.”  This approach leads to opposition and suboptimal outcomes.

Conservative positions on elections raise issues on the capability of the respective systems and processes to ensure citizen that elections are fair and all legal votes are counted. This has led to the demand for forensic audits and legislative changes with the intent to improve the system for future elections.  The American Society of Quality (ASQ) – Government Division has recently proposing an improved management system  supporting election authorities to enhance trust and confidence in U.S. elections

Brown County Leader Network 

In America by law, We the People are top management and are responsible for expecting and supporting changes  that result in outcomes where everyone benefits or at least are not any worse off in the long-term.  Unfortunately, this knowledge may not be commonly acknowledged due to the influence of the two-party system, lack of knowledge of history and civic education in the schools.

Thankfully, Brown County Schools do support civic education and student teams have won national competitions on their knowledge of Constitutional issues.  More info: We the People – Brown County Schools.

In contrast, the Board of the Brown County League of Women Voters (LoWV) endorsed a position from the National League that supports a position that leads to  divisiveness and sustains racism: 

  • Whereas, the League acknowledges painfully that America is a nation founded on racism. We must end white privilege and the myth of white supremacy if we are to become the nation we pledge to be … 

The 2020 platform of the Democrat candidates for office also supported the premise regarding  the pervasiveness (systemic) of racism and inequality and admitted to having no evidence to support their theory:

  • We call for the end to racism in all forms. We call for a review of all county laws, directives and initiatives of all kinds by any agency or segment of county government to determine if any such laws, directives or initiatives have or could result in racism or inequality in any form. We call for the expeditious remediation of any such instances so found.

You want to know how to end racism in America?
Stop Talking about it” – Morgan Freeman

Jordan Peterson Debunks White Privilege
“There’s nothing more racist than targeting an entire ethnic group
with a collective crime regardless of the innocence or guilt of its individuals.”

On the banner image for Matters, there is a link to the Brown County Leader Network (BCLN). This site offers some principles, methods and tools in developing assessments and supporting improvements. In developing solutions that can lead to better outcomes, the stakeholder matrix is a useful tool. The matrix is used to  identify everyone (stakeholders) effected by a change, the information or services they expect and the feedback they need and will use to assess results.  This concept applied at a local or national level offers an alternative way of acknowledging differences and helping to develop support for solutions.

The BCLN site also provides an outline of a problem and decision-making process.  This process aligns with the Justice system in helping to discover the truth and identify the best decisions.  Facts and evidence are used to help identify a problem.  The pros (prosecution), cons (defense) and risks are identified.  Transparency along with the supporting documentation help develop support for the respective changes.

Civil War?

Regarding the ideologies of the Left and Right, Dennis Prager captures what he believes to be  key attributes. “A Guide to Basic Differences Between Left and Right”  Prager was also labeled as being part of the right wing fringe.

  • Prager makes a distinction between  the  traditionally defined “liberals” and the Left or Leftists.  He consider the liberals and conservatives as natural allies.  He also assesses that we are in the midst of a Civil War: “Either America survives and the left is defeated, or the left survives and America is defeated. It’s as simple as that. We are in a civil war; I pray it is not violent, although if it is, they have begun the violence. If you deny we are in a civil war, you’re having your head in the proverbial sand.”
  • The focus of the December 2019 issue o the Atlantic was on the topic of  “How to Stop A Civil War.   The August 13, 2021 issue includes a final article in  series titled Will the U.S. Pass a Point of No Return? “Crossing the Rubicon: If the United States, in recent years, has been tracking the decline and fall of Republican Rome, when do we pass the point of no return?”
    • “I have been predicting for years that something resembling a civil war will arise and something like Trumpists likely will carry the day in the short-term.”
  • I addressed the civil war topic in my post:  Is America in The Midst of a Cold Civil War?
  • The left is evil – and liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager explains why such a small percentage controls and ruins so much

    • As I have noted repeatedly, liberalism and leftism have virtually nothing in common. In fact, leftism is the enemy of liberalism – as a handful of liberals such as former New York Times writer Bari Weiss, former Young Turk Dave Rubin and others have come to recognize.

Context: Moral Authority – The Right Thing

An underlying basis for discussions is recognizing the moral authority that motivates  ideology.  What is the right thing, how is it determined, and by whom?   

The secular design of the U.S.  system of government was influenced by Judeo-Christian  principles which accepts God as the moral authority. The Christian philosophy includes a belief that actions motivated by love lead to outcomes where everyone gains, or at least, are not any worse off in the long-term. The premise being that as more needs are met, there is less harm on people of needs that are not being met.

Governments also  represents a “moral authority” in determining the right things where “Man” defines the moral code.  For the U.S system of government, the intent of the founders was that  the Power to identify the right things in working towards a more perfect Union, was to be managed on behalf of the citizens through a balance  between the three branch of government, the federal government and the states.   The length of the terms of office were staggered to help balance short term and long-term interests. Presidents are elected to 4 years, Senate 6, Congressman 2 and supreme court  justices have lifetime appointments.

The Declaration of Independence identifies the  commitment to the “self-evident truths”  that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.–That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed …

Leftism (Marxism)

 In contrast, political systems influenced by Marxist theory lead to a centralization of power inherent in socialist  and communist based systems.   Marx ‘s Communist Manifesto reinforced the strategy to divide people, exploit divisions and leverage their hate and rage to inspire revolutions that will lead to the Marx version of utopia – divide, conquer, terrorize,  subjugate and control.  Marx was  raised in a Christian home but later abandoned God and associated with Satan. Marx declared: “I long to take vengeance on the One Who rules from above … We make war against all prevailing ideas of religion, of the state, of county, of patriotism.”   

Another popular treatise of the Left for revolutionary change  is Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals. Alinsky dedicated his book to Lucifer – the “original radical that gained his own kingdom” – Hell.

As the newly elected atheist chaplain of Harvard University put it in The New York Times:
“We don’t look to a god for answers. We are each other’s answers.”  (1)

Mark Levin in his book American Marxism, makes the case that “the core elements of Marxist ideology are now pervasive in American society and culture” which includes critical race theory, and “escalation of repression and and censorship to silence opposing forces and enforce conformity.”  Mathew Lohmeier, who recently resigned from the Air Force as a result of the fall-out from his book “Irresistible Revolutions – Marxism’s Goal of Conquest and the Unmaking of the American Military” also reinforces the threats from Marxist inspired ideology  in the military and in American society. 

The polarity between the left and the right is exacerbated by a lack of knowledge of history and civics.  A counter to the belief that America’s founding started in 1619 vs 1776  is provided at the  following: American Civics. 

  • The American republic rests upon the foundation of “E Pluribus Unum” — out of many, one. Although the Founders knew from their own experience that a vast diversity in outlooks and opinions would be present among the country’s citizens, they understood that such diversity must rest upon principles and practices we hold in common. It is up to each generation to make sure that this foundational unity remains intact. This project on American Civics seeks to contribute to that worthy cause.
  • 1776 Unites Curriculum Highlights the American Character

In summary, within Brown County, we have the same Left vs Right political divide that is prevalent throughout the country.  We can choose the better approaches while acknowledging competing ideologies and philosophies in a respectful and constructive manner.

Additional Information

A Way Ahead.  Raise awareness on the threats to our Republic, apply non-violent strategies  proven successful by Martin Luther King and Gandhi, and apply the quality improvement principles, methods, tools. 

  • HOW to take OUR country back – (15 min) Warrior Poet Society – Mass Non-Compliance

    • He covers many of the key points – and “Massive Non-Compliance” is the counter. The threats include Leftism (against everything-isms), aka Marxism, enabled by government, media, big-tech, “woke” corporations and the anti-nationalists.  

Footnotes

(1) The danger of bringing religious zeal to the political realm.  In America today, many people treat politics, rather than religion, as the place to discover ultimate purpose and communion 

    • Lower levels of religious observance among Democratic Party activists — who are more likely to be atheists, agnostics or “nones” compared with their Republican counterparts — means that they must find meaning elsewhere. As the newly elected atheist chaplain of Harvard University put it in The New York Times: “We don’t look to a god for answers. We are each other’s answers.”

    • There is a certain freedom in letting go of the need to win an argument or claim victory over one’s opponents. Our fellow citizens do not need to be converted, and the world does not need to be made anew.  …. This, I believe, is a better way to live, even as I admit that it is not so easy to hold one’s tongue (or tweets) when matters get contentious. But we can at least start by resisting that very human urge to make enemies of those who might otherwise become our friends.

(2) Prager crushes grand lie of systemic racism: ‘So many obvious ways to prove how little racist this country is’ July 5, 2020

Covid – Strengthening the Immune System, Treatments, Vaccine Injuries, Mandates, Exceptions

IFR Dr. Ioannidis Stanford Infection Survival Rate IFR covid

 
  • Right now, the medical establishment is doing the equivalent of a doctor who, when he concludes that you are in the early stages of a sinus infection, sends you home without any antibiotics and, instead, tells you to return when you’re septic.  When it comes to COVID, we’re all told to go home and get back to the doctor when we’re on the verge of dying and interventional medicines will no longer work.  Meanwhile, almost the entire American establishment (Democrats, doctors, Hollywood stars) hectors everyone to get vaccinated.

Roundtable Video: 8 prominent doctors & scientists engage in a remarkable exchange

  • Delta Variant – early treatment (with available and safe drugs) the key for the vaxxed and unvaxxed.
  • Vaccination can’t be the only strategy
  • We have existing treatments independent of the variant
  • Too much fear and propaganda – IQ drop of 20 points for kids born after Jan 2020.
  • Of the approximate 32- kids that dies of Covid, all had comorbidities. This could be changing.  Again, early treatment (with available drugs) can prevent deaths.
  • Prevention: Ivermectin is effective if taken regularly as is HDC or both – no deaths
  • Dr. Tyson – 6,000 patients – no deaths if treated day 1-7, $ deaths if treated day 7-14.
  • Barriers – Financial interests – vaccines are profitable; Academia – last 10 yrs, “only proof of efficacy of a drug has to come from a large, double blind randomized control trial. Takes time, delayed, under-dosed.  
  • Dr.  Malone – safety of the mRNA  has enormous promise. Safety of the underlug technology is not demonstrated yet. In the fog of war, rushed to market.
  • Spike Protein from the vaccine has caused more damage than any medical treatment in history. Most people will be fine. 
  • Dr.  Malone. Takes a decade or more to produce a vaccine that is safe and effective and to demonstrate it is safe. . FDA 2 years after phase 3 trails of 3,000 people (the more the better) and another two years to see if there are any autoimmune issues.
    • Short-cuts?  Normally it takes three years to evaluate the data vs 6-8 months after phase 3 trails were completed.  Didn’t  have the data to identify and assess adverse effects. No testing on effect on pregnant women. Spike Protein causes inflammation in the ovaries – do not know effect or if is safe. 
  • One size fits all policy makes no sense.
  • If you’ve had Covid, you are done with Covid.

Senator Ron Johnson: “There’s No Point to Mandate Whatsoever – With COVID Vaccine We’ve Had 16,766 Deaths in 10 Months” (VIDEO)

  • “The mandates are pointless. Now that we know that fully vaccinated individuals are getting infected, they can transmit the disease. Unfortunately, they are being hospitalized, they’re getting seriously ill, they’re dying. There’s no point to the mandate, whatsoever.
  • On the dangers of the vaccines, Senator Johnson added, “They’re completely ignoring the vaccine injuries. And Maria, people really need to understand this because it’s not being reported. It’s being suppressed. But over 25 years with the flu vaccine there were a little less than 1,700 deaths reported on the Vaccine Adverse Reporting System (VAERS). That’s CDC’s early surveillance security system… With the COVID Vaccine, we’ve had 16,766 deaths in 10 months administering this vaccine.”

Over 3,000 Doctors and Scientists Sign Declaration Accusing COVID Policy-Makers of ‘Crimes Against Humanity’, By Debra Heine, American Greatness,  September 24, 2021

  • A “Physicians’ Declaration” produced by an international alliance of physicians and medical scientists strongly condemns the global strategy to treat COVID, accusing policy-makers of potential “crimes against humanity” for preventing physicians from providing life-saving treatments for their patients and suppressing open scientific discussion. … The document states that “one size fits all” treatment recommendations have resulted in needless illness and death.

World-Class Scientist Calls Out Medical Journal For Smearing Lockdown Critics Instead Of Proving Them Wrong, Federalist,  13, 2021 By Joy Pullmann

  • Martin Kulldorf, professor of medicine at Harvard University, says we must acknowledge that 400 years of scientific enlightenment may be coming to end because there is no longer open and honest discourse, which is critical for science and public health.
  • Kulldorff calls his critics’ hand by demanding they engage in a scientific discussion about their position, rather than name-calling and threatening professional repercussions.
  • “If we are to be faulted for anything, it is that we failed to convince governments to implement focused protection instead of damaging lockdowns,” Kulldorff writes. “One place where we had some success was Florida, where the cumulative age-adjusted Covid mortality is lower than the US national average with less collateral damage. If we are wrong, then as scientists we would welcome a scientific discussion on how and where we are wrong.”
  • Key priorities for public health agencies: 1. Return to basic principles of public health 2. Apologize for the biggest public health fiasco in history 3. Rebuild public trust
  • The fact that the world is now 19 months into COVID demands that continue to defy science, ethics, and human and natural rights, with still no substantive response to the evidence- and reason-based critics of all these drastic impositions, suggests oppression is all the COVID authoritarians have. If they had science, reason, and humanity on their side, they would demonstrate it instead of twisting everyone’s arms.

    Since they’re sticking with coercion and pressure tactics instead of informed and open debate, it’s safe to presume at this point that arm-twisting is all they have. And that they’re not going to stop until people make them.

TREATMENT GUIDES (PROTOCOLS) AND MEDICAL SUPPORT

  • Website: Vladimirzelenkomd.com.  In March 2020, Dr. Zelenko’s team was one of the first in the country to successfully treat thousands of Covid-19 patients in the prehospital setting. Dr. Zelenko developed his now famous “Zelenko Protocol,” which has saved countless lives worldwideIn March 2020, Dr. Zelenko’s team was one of the first in the country to successfully treat thousands of Covid-19 patients in the prehospital setting. Dr. Zelenko developed his now famous “Zelenko Protocol,” which has saved countless lives worldwide
    • – Zelenko Protocol innovator: 99% survival of high risk Covid-19 patients
    • – Nominated for the Presidential Medal of Freedom
    • – Recognized as a hero at U.S. Senate Homeland Security committee hearing
    • – Published in top peer reviewed journals with world renowned physicians
    • – Provided counsel to White House personnel, multiple governments, hospitals, physicians, public figures
    • – Board Certified Family Physician with over 20 years experience
    • Dr. Zelenko – Sept 2021 The Vaccine Death Report 1.0
  • User Clip: Dr. Pierre Kory US Senate hearing – Ivermectin is 100% cure for COVID-19
    • Ivermectin: If you take it, you will not get Covid. If you already have Covid and you take it, you will not die. – Pierre Kory, MD
  • How to treat COVID, long-haul, and COVID vaccine side-effects Aug 30, 2021
  • September 22, 2021 Why Do Doctors Go Along with COVID Panic Porn and CDC Prescriptions? By Ted Noel, MD
    • Any doctor who actually reads the studies, or follows any of the protocols published by the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, will see a lot of peer pressure to stop.  The financial risks may be extreme.  It takes a spine of steel to stand up to the authoritarian orthodoxy.
 

State of Florida – Department of Health

CCHF Launches “DON’T BE BULLIED” Billboard Campaign FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 8/25/2021

Exemptions

Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) – U.S. Health and Human Services (HHS)

Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee – 9/17/2021

  • Dr. Jessica Rose’s presentation at the 4:10 hour mark.

Aug 27, 2021Interview with Jessica Rose, PhD — VAERS: What Does the Data Tell Us?

The Great Barrington Declaration.   Over 850,000 infectious disease epidemiologists and public health scientists recommended an approach referred to as  Focused Protection. “The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk. We call this Focused Protection. “

Military Servicemembers file a Class Action Lawsuit on behalf of the 220,000 members that have natural immunity. They are challenging the forced mandate for all. The lawsuit identifies the process that was used for approval of the vaccines and its deviation from the norm. Army Regulation 40-562 (“AR 40-562) “provides documented survivors of an infection a presumptive exemption from vaccination due to the natural immunity acquired as a result of having survived the infection. “   Lawsuit

  • Video: Active duty Navy Cmdr. goes on Fox News to attack military vaccine mandate

    • The forced vaccination of all military personnel with the present COVID-19 vaccines may compromise U.S. national security due to the unknown extent of serious vaccine complications,” Furman wrote in his letter. “Further study is needed before committing the Total Force to one irreversible experimental group. Initial reports leave more concern for the COVID-19 vaccinations than the virus itself for the (at present) exceptionally healthy military population.”
  • AFFIDAVIT OF LTC. THERESA LONG M.D. IN SUPPORT OF A MOTION FOR A PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION ORDER

  • In academia – Todd Zywicki of George Mason University School of Law sued over the mandate – he proved that he had natural immunity – and won an individual concession from the school but the policy remained unchanged. He is just one person but there are thousands of others, most of whom are quiet about their plight. They don’t have lawyers. They are considering just giving in. They wonder what the point of resistance really is. (The Purges have begun, Burning Platform)
  • Navy Seals apply for exemptions
    • Of the approximately 2,500 active duty Navy SEALs, each of whom cost Americans at least $500,000 to train, several hundred have sought an exemption from the Covid-19 vaccine mandate in the military—as many as a quarter of all active duty SEALs, according to R. Davis Younts, a JAG lawyer who is representing several of the special operators in his private capacity. JustTheNews reported that the SEALs—most of whom are shooters, not in senior leadership—have been told that, if they seek a religious accommodation, they will no longer be able to serve as active duty soldiers. In other words, their requests will almost certainly be denied.
    • Navy SEALs’ Lawyer: Military Ignoring Natural Immunity

  • 2 Navy SEALs, 16 other troops suing Biden, DOD over vaccine mandate

    • The lawsuit alleges that the federal government’s mandate specifies only FDA-approved vaccines. It adds that the FDA’s approval specifies only Pfizer’s “Comirnaty” vaccine, and not the unnamed Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine that has been available for nearly a year and remains under emergency use authorization.
    • The FDA has maintained that the existing Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine is identical to the Comirnaty vaccine and considered interchangeable, and that the only difference is the legal name and the packaging.
  • Pentagon Faces Class Action Lawsuit Over Vaccine Mandates on Military, Federal Employees and Contractors

    • Service members from all five branches of the military, federal employees, and federal civilian contractors have joined in a class action lawsuit against the Department of Defense over its COVID-19 vaccine mandates.

    • The 24 plaintiffs “face a deadline under the Federal COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate to receive a COVID-19 vaccine that violates their sincerely held religious beliefs, and have been refused any religious exemption or accommodation,” according to Liberty Counsel, the Christian legal firm that filed the lawsuit.

    • The lawsuit (pdf), filed in the U.S. District Court for the Middle District of Florida, lists President Joe Biden, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, and Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas as defendants.

Additional Information

The Guardian’s COVID Crib Sheet Presents the Facts, Gateway Pundit

  • The Guardian, a UK newspaper, has published a wonderfully informed, detailed list of key facts you should understand about COVID. I am going to give you the reader’s digest version, but here is the link to read the whole thing. Please do.

Sept 18, 2021. Brown County contracts with IU for ambulance service.  “125 Staff Part Ways With Indiana’s Biggest Hospital System After Refusing Vaccine By Tom Ozimek

Letters: Vaccine requirements restrict freedom for the common good, Indianapolis Star, Michael E. Day, MD, Nashville, Indiana, Brown County Health Board …. “No one has the right or freedom to behave in ways that harm others.”

Footnotes:

(1) FDA Hearing: Doctors and Experts Testify Government Data Demonstrates COVID Shots are Dangerous and May Kill More Than They Save (VIDEO) By Jim Hoft

  • On Friday an FDA advisory panel declined to endorse authorization the Pfizer-BioNTech Covid booster shot for people aged 16 or older.
  • The panel voted 16-2 to reject extra doses of an experimental vaccine, citing insufficient data from incomplete clinical trials and the potential risk of heart inflammation – especially among young men.
  • The FDA hearing prior to the decision was stunning. The hearing was 8 hours long and it included SHOCKING testimony from American doctors.
  • Dr. Joseph Fraiman, MD told the FDA on Friday that government does not have data to show the vaccine was more beneficial than it is harmful for teenage boys.
  • Steve Kirsch, the Executive Director of the COVID-19 Early Treatment Fund was up next to testify before the FDA.  Kirsch argued the vaccines kill more people than they save. … Kirsh pointed out that there patients were 71 times more likely to suffer a heart attack after taking the vaccine than those taking other vaccines. 20 died from the drug, 14 from the placebo. … Kirsh argued that the vaccine killed more people than saved lives.

  • Steve Kirsch also pointed out that early treatments are more successful than boosters, noting that cases in Israel are at an all-time high and cases in Uttar Pradesh, India where they administer Ivermectin, the cases are nearly non-existent today.

Molecular Biologist Dr. Christina Parks Testimony House Bill 4471 – Michigan.  Aug 27, 2021. Prohibiting certain vaccinations as a condition of employment.

 
 
 
 

 

Common Fallacies – Excerpts

american thinker uncle sam

Excerpts: Reference: LOGOS: CRITICAL THINKING, ARGUMENTS, AND FALLACIES Heather Wilburn

Additional Information.  Critical Thinking – Arguments, Fallacies, Rhetoric – Independent Voters of Brown County IN

Fallacies:

Some arguments are faulty, not necessarily because of the truth or falsity of the premises, but because they rely on psychological and emotional ploys. These are bad arguments because people shouldn’t accept your conclusion if you are using scare tactics or distracting and manipulating reasoning. Arguments that have this issue are called fallacies. There are a lot of fallacies, so, again, if you want to know more a web search will be useful. We are going to look at several that seem to be the most relevant for our day-to-day experiences.

  1. Inappropriate Appeal to Authority: We are definitely going to use authority figures in our lives (e.g. doctors, lawyers, mechanics, financial advisors, etc.), but we need to make sure that the authority figure is a reliable one.

Things to look for here might include: reputation in the field, not holding widely controversial views, experience, education, and the like. So, if we take an authority figure’s word and they’re not legit, we’ve committed the fallacy of appeal to authority.

Example 5: I think I am going to take my investments to Voya. After all, Steven Adams advocates for Voya in an advertisement I recently saw.

If we look at the criteria for evaluating arguments that appeal to authority figures, it is pretty easy to see that Adams is not an expert in the finance field. Thus, this is an inappropropriate appeal to authority.

  1. Slippery Slope Arguments: Slippery slope arguments are found everywhere it seems. The essential characteristic of a slippery slope argument is that it uses problematic premises to argue that doing ‘x’ will ultimately lead to other actions that are extreme, unlikely, and disastrous. You can think of this type of argument as a faulty chain of events or domino effect type of argument.

Example 6: If you don’t study for your philosophy exam you will not do well on the exam. This will lead to you failing the class. The next thing you know you will have lost your scholarship, dropped out of school, and will be living on the streets without any chance of getting a job.

While you should certainly study for your philosophy exam, if you don’t it is unlikely that this will lead to your full economic demise.

One challenge to evaluating slippery slope arguments is that they are predictions, so we cannot be certain about what will or will not actually happen. But this chain of events type of argument should be assessed in terms of whether the outcome will likely follow if action ‘x” is pursued.

  1. Faulty Analogy: We often make arguments based on analogy and these can be good arguments. But we often use faulty reasoning with analogies and this is what we want to learn how to avoid.

When evaluating an argument that is based on an analogy here are a few things to keep in mind: you want to look at the relevant similarities and the relevant differences between the things that are being compared. As a general rule, if there are more differences than similarities the argument is likely weak.

Example 7: Alcohol is legal. Therefore, we should legalize marijuana too.

So, the first step here is to identify the two things being compared, which are alcohol and marijuana. Next, note relevant similarities and differences. These might include effects on health, community safety, economic factors, criminal justice factors, and the like.

This is probably not the best argument in support for marijuana legalization. It would seem that one could just as easily conclude that since marijuana is illegal, alcohol should be too. In fact, one might find that alcohol is an often abused and highly problematic drug for many people, so it is too risky to legalize marijuana if it is similar to alcohol.

  1. Appeal to Emotion: Arguments should be based on reason and evidence, not emotional tactics. When we use an emotional tactic, we are essentially trying to manipulate someone into accepting our position by evoking pity or fear, when our positions should actually be backed by reasonable and justifiable evidence.

Example 8: Officer please don’t give me a speeding ticket. My girlfriend broke up with me last night, my alarm didn’t go off this morning, and I’m late for class.

While this is a really horrible start to one’s day, being broken up with and an alarm malfunctioning is not a justifiable reason for speeding.

Example 9: Professor, I’d like you to remember that my mother is a dean here at TCC. I’m sure that she will be very disappointed if I don’t receive an A in your class.

This is a scare tactic and is not a good way to make an argument. Scare tactics can come in the form of psychological or physical threats; both forms are to be avoided.

  1. Appeal to Ignorance: This fallacy occurs when our argument relies on lack of evidence when evidence is actually needed to support a position.

Example 10: No one has proven that sasquatch doesn’t exist; therefore it does exist.

Example 11: No one has proven God exists; therefore God doesn’t exist.

The key here is that lack of evidence against something cannot be an argument for something. Lack of evidence can only show that we are ignorant of the facts.

  1. Straw Man: A straw man argument is a specific type of argument that is intended to weaken an opponent’s position so that it is easier to refute. So, we create a weaker version of the original argument (i.e. a straw man argument), so when we present it everyone will agree with us and denounce the original position.

Example 12: Women are crazy arguing for equal treatment. No one wants women hanging around men’s locker rooms or saunas.

This is a misrepresentation of arguments for equal treatment. Women (and others arguing for equal treatment) are not trying to obtain equal access to men’s locker rooms or saunas.

The best way to avoid this fallacy is to make sure that you are not oversimplifying or misrepresenting others’ positions. Even if we don’t agree with a position, we want to make the strongest case against it and this can only be accomplished if we can refute the actual argument, not a weakened version of it. So, let’s all bring the strongest arguments we have to the table!

  1. Red Herring: A red herring is a distraction or a change in subject matter. Sometimes this is subtle, but if you find yourself feeling lost in the argument, take a close look and make sure there is not an attempt to distract you.

Example 13: Can you believe that so many people are concerned with global warming? The real threat to our country is terrorism.

It could be the case that both global warming and terrorism are concerns for us. But the red herring fallacy is committed when someone tries to distract you from the argument at hand by bringing up another issue or side-stepping a question. Politicians are masters at this, by the way.

  1. Appeal to the Person: This fallacy is also referred to as the ad hominem fallacy. We commit this fallacy when we dismiss someone’s argument or position by attacking them instead of refuting the premises or support for their argument.

Example 14: I am not going to listen to what Professor ‘X’ has to say about the history of religion. He told one of his previous classes he wasn’t religious.

The problem here is that the student is dismissing course material based on the professor’s religious views and not evaluating the course content on its own ground.

To avoid this fallacy, make sure that you target the argument or their claims and not the person making the argument in your rebuttal.

  1. Hasty Generalization: We make and use generalizations on a regular basis and in all types of decisions. We rely on generalizations when trying to decide which schools to apply to, which phone is the best for us, which neighborhood we want to live in, what type of job we want, and so on. Generalizations can be strong and reliable, but they can also be fallacious. There are three main ways in which a generalization can commit a fallacy: your sample size is too small, your sample size is not representative of the group you are making a generalization about, or your data could be outdated.

Example 15: I had horrible customer service at the last Starbucks I was at. It is clear that Starbucks employees do not care about their customers. I will never visit another Starbucks again.

The problem with this generalization is that the claim made about all Starbucks is based on one experience. While it is tempting to not spend your money where people are rude to their customers, this is only one employee and presumably doesn’t reflect all employees or the company as a whole. So, to make this a stronger generalization we would want to have a larger sample size (multiple horrible experiences) to support the claim. Let’s look at a second hasty generalization:

Example 16: I had horrible customer service at the Starbucks on 81st street. It is clear that Starbucks employees do not care about their customers. I will never visit another Starbucks again.

The problem with this generalization mirrors the previous problem in that the claim is based on only one experience. But there’s an additional issue here as well, which is that the claim is based off of an experience at one location. To make a claim about the whole company, our sample group needs to be larger than one and it needs to come from a variety of locations.

  1. Begging the Question: An argument begs the question when the argument’s premises assume the conclusion, instead of providing support for the conclusion. One common form of begging the question is referred to as circular reasoning.

Example 17: Of course, everyone wants to see the new Marvel movie is because it is the most popular movie right now!

The conclusion here is that everyone wants to see the new Marvel movie, but the premise simply assumes that is the case by claiming it is the most popular movie. Remember the premise should give reasons for the conclusion, not merely assume it to be true.

  1. Equivocation: In the English language there are many words that have different meanings (e.g. bank, good, right, steal, etc.). When we use the same word but shift the meaning without explaining this move to your audience, we equivocate the word and this is a fallacy. So, if you must use the same word more than once and with more than one meaning you need to explain that you’re shifting the meaning you intend. Although, most of the time it is just easier to use a different word.

Example 18: Yes, philosophy helps people argue better, but should we really encourage people to argue? There is enough hostility in the world.

Here, argue is used in two different senses. The meaning of the first refers to the philosophical meaning of argument (i.e. premises and a conclusion), whereas the second sense is in line with the common use of argument (i.e. yelling between two or more people, etc.).

 

BCMC Management and Oversight

bcmc

Brown County Music Center (BCMC)

History of the BCMC and Current Events

Citizen Requirements

  • Commissioners, Council and BCMC management group pledged that NO county tax dollars would be used to subsidize this venue.  if the venue was not successful, it would be sold and/or returned to the bank.
    • A $239K subsidy including some rent payments was provided to the BCMC by the county.  Details associated with the transaction:
      • Feb 17, 2021. Letter: BCD. GUEST OPINION: What’s been happening with your county’s finances by Kevin Fleming.  Includes the details regarding the lack of transparency and oversight of Commissioner Biddle’s actions regarding the $239,000 “Rent” payment to the BCMC.  Commissioner Biddle also serves on the Music Center’s management group.

  • Revenue from the innkeeper’s tax was used as collateral for the loan to build the venue and can be used for operating expenses. 

Questions:

  • What is the management relationship (roles and responsibilities) between the commissioners, council, BCMC management group, and the BCMC Building Corp?
  • What are the requirement for reporting revenues and expenses, assets and liabilities associated with the venue?
  • In addition to the Convention Visitors Commission (CVC) budget, what information does the council need to consider in reviewing the CVC budget  as well as the efficient and effective use of the revenue from the innkeepers tax?
    • Balance Sheet?
    • Profit and Loss Statements?
    • Income Statements?
    • Cash Flow Analysis? 
    • Budget Approved by Council?
    • Addendum to the loan agreement with the bank?
  • What are the policies and internal controls for ensuring the effective and efficient use of revenue from the innkeepers tax ?  How often are these reviewed?
  • Are the BCMC Financial statements audited by an independent and objective company? 

Additional Information

2011 Indiana Code TITLE 6. TAXATION ARTICLE 9. INNKEEPER’S TAXES; OTHER LOCAL TAXES
CHAPTER 14. BROWN COUNTY INNKEEPER’S TAX

  • IC 6-9-14-4
    Payment of expenses; budget; expenditures
    Sec. 4. All expenses of the commission shall be paid from the fund required by section 7 of this chapter. The commission shall annually prepare a budget taking into consideration the recommendations made by a not-for-profit corporation qualifying under section 3 of this chapter and shall submit it to the county council for its review and approval. No expenditure shall be made unless it is pursuant to an appropriation made by the county council in the manner provided by law.
    As added by Acts 1981, P.L.100, SEC.1.